US Presidential election odds

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Mosquito
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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by Mosquito » July 25, 2020, 10:10 am

Checked 14-16k Syrian migrated to the US (2014-2016), hard to get a decent accurate number by year (2017-2020) as numbers get mixed with the general immigration numbers, but 3.5k in 2017, 62 in 2018, and 631 in 2019.

Also, from what I can find.............seems they are doing good getting settled in the US. However, most of that info is coming from pro-immigration sites.

Oh, checked Native Americans are only 1.6% of the US population..............thus it's a no brainer that majority of Millionaires in the US are immigrants.

Might check later, but thinking the number of Native Americans by % verses other ethnic groups being Millionaires might be up there.................considering all the Indian Reservation Casinos in operation. Maybe not!!!



Whistler
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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by Whistler » July 29, 2020, 10:33 am

Mar 04 Trump $1.50 Biden $3.50
Mar 11 Trump $1.80 Biden $2.10
Mar 18 Trump $2:00 Biden $2.00
Mar 25 Trump $1.91 Biden $2.00
Apr 08`Trump $1.91 Biden $2.25
Apr 15 Trump $1.83 Biden $2.20
Apr 22 Trump $1.83 Biden $2.20
Apr 29 Trump $1.91 Biden $2.10
May 6 Trump $1.91 Biden $2.20
May 13 Trump $1.91 Biden $2.20
May 20 Trump $1.91 Biden $2.20
May 27 Trump $1.91 Biden $2.20
Jun 03 Trump $2.00 Biden $2.00
Jun 10 Trump $2.15 Biden $1.85
Jun 17 Trump $2.15 Biden $1.85
Jun 24 Trump $2.50 Biden $1.65
Jun 30 Trump $2.75 Biden $1.53
Jul 8 Trump $2.50 Biden $1.67
Jul 15 Trump $2.60 Biden $1.60
Jul 21 Trump $2:70 Biden $1.60
Jul 29 Trump $2.65 Biden $1.60 97 days till election
Last edited by Whistler on July 30, 2020, 11:31 am, edited 2 times in total.
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GT93
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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by GT93 » July 30, 2020, 8:11 am

At first I wasn't keen on Biden but I now appreciate he's a wonderfully small target. Trump can't make him out to be the devil. Covid 19 and the Democrats this time having the right candidate mean it's all over rover. Trump doesn't have enough time left to convince Americans he can lead the Covid 19 response well.

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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by Whistler » July 30, 2020, 11:30 am

I concur GT. This best they can do is run a scare campaign that Hillary is in the wings and that Biden is nothing other than a proxy candidate. If/When Biden chooses a viable running partner, this argument will look a bit thin to all but the most susceptible voter.

Trump ain't toast yet, but hard to imagine him being in a worse position with just 96 days to go before the election
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GT93
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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by GT93 » July 30, 2020, 12:54 pm

And he's starting to grizzle like a loser. \:D/

I'm expecting more musical chairs among his campaign team. Hopefully Trump enablers such as Moscow Mitch get the heave-ho too. November also isn't looking too good for Putin.

Uncle Sam will soon be back in "town".

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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by Whistler » July 30, 2020, 8:42 pm

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tamada
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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by tamada » August 1, 2020, 11:48 am

Looks like Hong Kong has taken a leaf out of 45's new play book.

Concern as Hong Kong postpones elections for a year, citing Covid-19

The Hong Kong government has postponed its upcoming elections for one year, citing the growing coronavirus outbreak in the territory but sparking immediate accusations that the pandemic was being used as a pretext to suppress democracy.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/ ... g-covid-19

YCMTSU

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papafarang
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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by papafarang » August 1, 2020, 12:42 pm

'Look I have to see' A.K.A if I win with mail in ballots then its OK, if I lose well I will say it was voter fraud .
Hansa village clubhouse . Tel 0981657001 https://www.google.co.th/maps/place/Han ... 5851?hl=en

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GT93
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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by GT93 » August 2, 2020, 1:09 am

Trump should do a Lyndon Johnson and not stand for re-election. He's incapable of leading and managing the Covid 19 crisis. He doesn't have any leadership skills.

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US Presidential election odds

Post by Mosquito » August 2, 2020, 2:13 am

Bit off the rails/out there, but anything is possible with Trump (guy only cares about himself).

Attempt to Delay Elections / Stay in Office:
1. Start an isolated shooting war with China.
2. Start a planned tit for tat shooting war with Russia. Planned as Trump and Putin wouldn't blink an eye if a few hundred/thousand of their troops get killed in order to stay in power.
3. Use COVID-19 to declare martial law nation wide. legality?? but rule of law hasn't stopped Trump previously.
4. Call for his fan base to riot/attack his political foes. Has already semi-covertly done this, but talking direct action call out.

More likely he'll come up with a whopper (big big BIG BIG lie/story line), before the elections.

Only wish more of Trump's fan base would do some fact checking, and of course use some common sense.

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tamada
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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by tamada » August 2, 2020, 7:59 am

Where have all UM's 45 fan boys gone? Ever since Lone Star left the field, it's gone awfully quiet out there? Are they having difficulty typing now that they have to look at Trump's world through partly opened fingers. Maybe a facepalm as a barely stifled gasp of incredulity escapes from their tightened lips?

Come on! Speak up boys!

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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by Whistler » August 2, 2020, 10:44 am

Mosquito wrote:
August 2, 2020, 2:13 am
Bit off the rails/out there, but anything is possible with Trump (guy only cares about himself).

Attempt to Delay Elections / Stay in Office:
1. Start an isolated shooting war with China.
2. Start a planned tit for tat shooting war with Russia. Planned as Trump and Putin wouldn't blink an eye if a few hundred/thousand of their troops get killed in order to stay in power.
3. Use COVID-19 to declare martial law nation wide. legality?? but rule of law hasn't stopped Trump previously.
4. Call for his fan base to riot/attack his political foes. Has already semi-covertly done this, but talking direct action call out.

More likely he'll come up with a whopper (big big BIG BIG lie/story line), before the elections.

Only wish more of Trump's fan base would do some fact checking, and of course use some common sense.
Yes, he is the Messiah

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DBbuUWw30N8
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Whistler
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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by Whistler » August 6, 2020, 7:41 pm

Mar 04 Trump $1.50 Biden $3.50
Mar 11 Trump $1.80 Biden $2.10
Mar 18 Trump $2:00 Biden $2.00
Mar 25 Trump $1.91 Biden $2.00
Apr 08`Trump $1.91 Biden $2.25
Apr 15 Trump $1.83 Biden $2.20
Apr 22 Trump $1.83 Biden $2.20
Apr 29 Trump $1.91 Biden $2.10
May 6 Trump $1.91 Biden $2.20
May 13 Trump $1.91 Biden $2.20
May 20 Trump $1.91 Biden $2.20
May 27 Trump $1.91 Biden $2.20
Jun 03 Trump $2.00 Biden $2.00
Jun 10 Trump $2.15 Biden $1.85
Jun 17 Trump $2.15 Biden $1.85
Jun 24 Trump $2.50 Biden $1.65
Jun 30 Trump $2.75 Biden $1.53
Jul 8 Trump $2.50 Biden $1.67
Jul 15 Trump $2.60 Biden $1.60
Jul 21 Trump $2:70 Biden $1.60
Jul 29 Trump $2.65 Biden $1.60
Aug 5 Trump $2.63 Biden $1.53 92 days till election
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Whistler
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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by Whistler » August 12, 2020, 12:48 pm

Mar 04 Trump $1.50 Biden $3.50
Mar 11 Trump $1.80 Biden $2.10
Mar 18 Trump $2:00 Biden $2.00
Mar 25 Trump $1.91 Biden $2.00
Apr 08`Trump $1.91 Biden $2.25
Apr 15 Trump $1.83 Biden $2.20
Apr 22 Trump $1.83 Biden $2.20
Apr 29 Trump $1.91 Biden $2.10
May 6 Trump $1.91 Biden $2.20
May 13 Trump $1.91 Biden $2.20
May 20 Trump $1.91 Biden $2.20
May 27 Trump $1.91 Biden $2.20
Jun 03 Trump $2.00 Biden $2.00
Jun 10 Trump $2.15 Biden $1.85
Jun 17 Trump $2.15 Biden $1.85
Jun 24 Trump $2.50 Biden $1.65
Jun 30 Trump $2.75 Biden $1.53
Jul 8 Trump $2.50 Biden $1.67
Jul 15 Trump $2.60 Biden $1.60
Jul 21 Trump $2:70 Biden $1.60
Jul 29 Trump $2.65 Biden $1.60
Aug 5 Trump $2.63 Biden $1.53
Aug 12 Trump $2.65 Biden $1.65 83 days until election

Question: what have these guys got in common apart from be ex Presidents?

Jimmy Carter. Bush Snr, Bush Jnr, Clinton & Obama

Answer: They have all said don't vote for Trump.
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