US Presidential election odds

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stattointhailand
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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by stattointhailand » April 3, 2020, 9:26 pm

now that Barr has been forced to hand over the full (undoctored) Muller report we will finally get to see how "perfect" that one was



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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by Kenr6583 » April 4, 2020, 4:18 am

stattointhailand wrote:
April 3, 2020, 9:26 pm
now that Barr has been forced to hand over the full (undoctored) Muller report we will finally get to see how "perfect" that one was
About as perfect as his entire presidency

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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by Khun Paul » April 4, 2020, 5:04 am

Khun Paul wrote:
April 3, 2020, 12:11 pm
I would not say underhanded trick, as he himself used his OFFICE to stop, harry and generally thwart a democratic process aided and abetted by his sycophantic Senators.

Take them away and he emerges just as he is a lying two-faced manipulator or as one Senator said a MORON .
Now it appears according to news reports that he is also using HIS son ( non-elected to write polices that will affect Americans , what do you call TWO Morons ) ….just asking .

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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by Whistler » April 4, 2020, 8:34 am

Moroni
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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by Doodoo » April 4, 2020, 9:14 am

Lost here Whistler Moroni =Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints got to do with What Khun Paul was talking about

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maaka
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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by maaka » April 4, 2020, 9:33 am

I think its meant to be Moron i .... as in plural morons..

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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by Whistler » April 8, 2020, 9:22 am

Mar 04 Trump $1.50 Biden $3.50
Mar 11 Trump $1.80 Biden $2.10
Mar 18 Trump $2:00 Biden $2.00
Mar 25 Trump $1.91 Biden $2.00
Apr 08`Trump $1.91 Biden $2.25

Cuomo is on the list at $23.00. Whats the chance that Biden has an issue and Cuomo is drafted?
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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by Whistler » April 15, 2020, 8:55 am

Mar 04 Trump $1.50 Biden $3.50
Mar 11 Trump $1.80 Biden $2.10
Mar 18 Trump $2:00 Biden $2.00
Mar 25 Trump $1.91 Biden $2.00
Apr 08`Trump $1.91 Biden $2.25
Apr 15 Trump $1.83 Biden $2.20
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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by Whistler » April 22, 2020, 8:43 am

no change from last week. Interesting because Trump's popularity in USA has dropped quite a lot, but betting market is shaped by bets placed, not so much an analysis of the political landscape.

Mar 04 Trump $1.50 Biden $3.50
Mar 11 Trump $1.80 Biden $2.10
Mar 18 Trump $2:00 Biden $2.00
Mar 25 Trump $1.91 Biden $2.00
Apr 08`Trump $1.91 Biden $2.25
Apr 15 Trump $1.83 Biden $2.20
Apr 22 Trump $1.83 Biden $2.20
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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by Whistler » April 28, 2020, 7:10 pm

Mar 04 Trump $1.50 Biden $3.50
Mar 11 Trump $1.80 Biden $2.10
Mar 18 Trump $2:00 Biden $2.00
Mar 25 Trump $1.91 Biden $2.00
Apr 08`Trump $1.91 Biden $2.25
Apr 15 Trump $1.83 Biden $2.20
Apr 22 Trump $1.83 Biden $2.20
Apr 29 Trump $1.91 Biden $2.10
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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by GT93 » April 29, 2020, 2:02 am

The odds seem a bit, well, odd. Biden seems to be polling very well in key states.
Lock 'em up - Eastman, Giuliani, Senator Graham, Meadows and Trump

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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by Whistler » April 29, 2020, 9:29 am

GT93 wrote:
April 29, 2020, 2:02 am
The odds seem a bit, well, odd. Biden seems to be polling very well in key states.
GT, the bookies base their book odds on money bet, not on a deep analysis of the political situation. It simply means there are more gung-ho Trump supporters betting than Biden supporter. 6 Months to go, that will change as reality guides the market.
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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by Barney » April 29, 2020, 10:32 am

Looking at the current money odds it would appear the opposite to your thinking is happening with more gung ho Biden supporters placing bets.
Bringing his price down.


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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by Drunk Monkey » April 29, 2020, 10:40 am

I wonder what the odds are on a Biden win doubled up for him not to serve a full term and the vice prez pick becoming US president .. just who will be Bidens VP remains to be seen.

BTW Isnt Biden a fruitcake ?? early onset of dementia , obscure ramblings and memory loss , i read that somewhere .

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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by Whistler » April 29, 2020, 11:28 am

Barney wrote:
April 29, 2020, 10:32 am
Looking at the current money odds it would appear the opposite to your thinking is happening with more gung ho Biden supporters placing bets.
Bringing his price down.


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On a trend basis you are dead right Barney, a significant swing towards Biden. However based on overall bets, there appears to be more money in the total betting pool for Trump
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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by Whistler » April 29, 2020, 11:31 am

Drunk Monkey wrote:
April 29, 2020, 10:40 am
I wonder what the odds are on a Biden win doubled up for him not to serve a full term and the vice prez pick becoming US president .. just who will be Bidens VP remains to be seen.

BTW Isnt Biden a fruitcake ?? early onset of dementia , obscure ramblings and memory loss , i read that somewhere .

DM
Yeah, he is much nuttier than The Orange.

Not so much a fruitcake, as he is exhibiting moments of CRAFT. Apparently, true, but it is certainly a line that is being pushed against him.
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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by Whistler » May 6, 2020, 3:08 pm

Mar 04 Trump $1.50 Biden $3.50
Mar 11 Trump $1.80 Biden $2.10
Mar 18 Trump $2:00 Biden $2.00
Mar 25 Trump $1.91 Biden $2.00
Apr 08`Trump $1.91 Biden $2.25
Apr 15 Trump $1.83 Biden $2.20
Apr 22 Trump $1.83 Biden $2.20
Apr 29 Trump $1.91 Biden $2.10
May 6 Trump $1.91 Biden $2.20

The big surprise is Hillary Clinton has emerged as a distant 3 top choice at $21, pushing Cuomo to 4th favorite at $36
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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by mathusalah80 » May 6, 2020, 4:49 pm

Whistler wrote:
May 6, 2020, 3:08 pm

The big surprise is Hillary Clinton has emerged as a distant 3 top choice at $21, pushing Cuomo to 4th favorite at $36
I know nothing whatsoever about the intricacies of US politics.
But it would be an even bigger surprise to me if , much closer to the Convention date, Biden DIDN'T announce Hillary Clinton as his choice for VP; coupled with a mysterious increase in the rumours regarding the delicacy of Biden's health, (both mental & Physical!) Such moves would dovetail nicely with the inevitable and growing disenchantment of the Trump supporters, with his embarrassing ineptitude in the face of the current world crisis.
Solely in the interests of America, of course, it is even possible Biden could then make the courageous announcement, at the convention, he was withdrawing his nomination , (for health reasons :-" ), and propose Clinton as the Democratic candidate. :shock: [-X :lol: \:D/ Presumably she would then automatically nominate Michelle Obama as her running mate. :wink: =;
Just idle speculation on my part, as to the ingenuity the Democrats will need to employ, if they are to unseat Trump.
It would be interesting to read the views of our American members. :-k [-(

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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by Drunk Monkey » May 6, 2020, 5:04 pm

IF i was a betting man ..i would certainly have a few quid on that occurring Math .. in fact id said its nailed on with the frail state of Bidens health and Hilarys obsession to be POTUS..

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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by stattointhailand » May 6, 2020, 5:19 pm

This is what the republicans think :shock:


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