US Presidential election odds

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Drunk Monkey
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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by Drunk Monkey » October 10, 2020, 10:00 pm

Whistler wrote:
October 10, 2020, 9:05 pm
Drunk Monkey wrote:
October 10, 2020, 7:31 pm
If Elected Biden wont last 6 months before the men in white coats turn up in haul him off in a straight jacket .. the fella is bonkers now , campaigning from his basement and being protected by all n sundry and still the gaffes keep coming .. he is just being set up and will end up in the looney bin wearing odd socks n pissing himself.. whilst the Harris n the dems destroy all the good Trump has done.

DM
Ready to have this quoted in July 2021 when the first six months pf 2021 roll bye? We will remind you.
yes ready .. and i shall quote it to you too Whizzy


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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by Kenr6583 » October 11, 2020, 3:05 am

Drunk Monkey wrote:
October 10, 2020, 8:33 pm
Kenr6583 wrote:
October 10, 2020, 8:21 pm
Let's see:
No better healthcare system
No infrastructure
Doing his best to decimate Social Security
A deficit that's fixing to hit 100% of GDP
Lied his ass off about the coronavirus, putting the entire country at risk

Those are just a few I could think of before I have to clock on for work.
Have a great shift Ken
Thank you DM

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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by Kenr6583 » October 11, 2020, 10:13 am

Okay, here we go with some more:

Current Fed interest rate is 0% - .25%. Trump pushed the Fed to push the interest rates so low while the economy was "booming", it now has no place to go. This is killing the senior citizens.

Stock market has been a mess, a roller coaster is the best way to describe it. And don't blame the coronavirus, in 2018 I lost 5% of my portfolio. I thank the Stars that I only had 50% in the C fund, which tracks the s&p 500, and the other half in the G fund, government bonds, or it would have been much worse. And of course Trump is trying to kill the G fund.

The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act did not deliver as Trump said it would. The larger companies, even before it was passed, stated they were not going to expand, that they would use the excess money to do a buyback on stocks, which gave the stock market a steroid boost when they were buying back their shares. Trickle down economics? Didn't work with Reagan, not working now.

Many things he said he did with the veterans, like seeing doctors outside the VA, was already in place before he took office. Now he wants to take credit for it? BS

More to come later.

Whistler
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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by Whistler » October 12, 2020, 12:27 pm

Odds are now
Biden $1.40 Trump $3:00

Expectations are now for a Bluewash
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Whistler
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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by Whistler » October 13, 2020, 9:28 am

I Have wondered in recent times, how many Americans are listening to their foreign contacts, with the amount of International trade, scientific collaboration, the International nature of banking etc. Inevitably international views on Trump that are almost universally 'never Trumpers' may play a role in voters thinking, Then this article in the Sydney Morning Herald which was piece on Chinese aggressive policies ended with this telling paragraph.

'Across the 14 countries polled, a median of 78 per cent expressed "no trust" in Xi to "do the right thing in international affairs". Those polled trust Donald Trump even less. Individuals can try to move to other countries to avoid risk, but we cannot move to other worlds. Nations need to group in new partnerships if they hope for any stability in a churning, boiling, storm-tossed world'.

The full article
https://www.smh.com.au/world/asia/weste ... 5647l.html
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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by anefarious1 » October 13, 2020, 11:06 am

For those who would rather look at betting odds in simple percentage terms take a look at:

https://www.electionbettingodds.com/

Right now Trump's chances are 33.6% with less than 22 days remaining!

You can also hover over the individual states to see the percentages. Iowa, Ohio, North Carolina, Georgia and Florida are the key contests that could go either way. Biden only needs to win like 1 or 2 of these states. Anyway, the website is updated constantly.

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Drunk Monkey
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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by Drunk Monkey » October 13, 2020, 1:08 pm

anefarious1 wrote:
October 13, 2020, 11:06 am
For those who would rather look at betting odds in simple percentage terms take a look at:

https://www.electionbettingodds.com/

Right now Trump's chances are 33.6% with less than 22 days remaining!

You can also hover over the individual states to see the percentages. Iowa, Ohio, North Carolina, Georgia and Florida are the key contests that could go either way. Biden only needs to win like 1 or 2 of these states. Anyway, the website is updated constantly.
That reminds me of the dumb n dumber scene
https://youtu.be/nFTRwD85AQ4


Floyd . .To Mary ....so there is a chance :lol:

Dm.
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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by Kenr6583 » October 14, 2020, 3:59 am

Well looks like Trump's odds just got a little bit better. He is going to follow more money, socialism at its best, to the farmers right before the election. It is expected that the total payouts to the farmers this year will be 46 billion dollars. I thought all Republicans hated socialism?

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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by Chuchi » October 14, 2020, 5:59 pm

Am I to believe this fruitcake is questioning the President’s mental state , Jeez !Fair play to the Journo though I thought his questioning was reasonable.I like the part where she accuses him of being an Obama sympathizer.

https://youtu.be/gqPltMpWIwo

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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by Kenr6583 » October 14, 2020, 7:30 pm

"Suburban women, would you please like me? Please, Please, I saved your damn neighborhood, OK?"

Trump begging suburban women to vote for him at his latest pep rally in Pennsylvania. So sad.

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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by Whistler » October 14, 2020, 8:20 pm

Biden $1.40
Trump at $2.85

Kanya West looks like a bargain at $501. I will take all bets at $1000 to $1.

55

Trump is toast
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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by trekkertony » October 15, 2020, 3:59 am

Having watched the clip of Wolf Blitzer's interview of Nancy Pelosi, and the comments underneath the clip, l am surprised that the those who are Trump haters on the forum are not claiming that the responses are generated by republican interlopers. Perhaps the winds of change are happening at CNN

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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by Kenr6583 » October 15, 2020, 4:04 am

trekkertony wrote:
October 15, 2020, 3:59 am
Having watched the clip of Wolf Blitzer's interview of Nancy Pelosi, and the comments underneath the clip, l am surprised that the those who are Trump haters on the forum are not claiming that the responses are generated by republican interlopers. Perhaps the winds of change are happening at CNN
Can't do that because the far right extremist own the rights to all conspiracy theories.

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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by Whistler » October 18, 2020, 11:05 am

Betting is getting very active now, plenty of money rolling in, I will update more regularly now Nov 3 is closing in

Oct 12 Trump $3.00 Biden $1.40 Spread $1.60
Oct 14 Trump $2.85 Biden $1.40 Spread $1:45
Oct 17 Trump $2.50 Biden $1.56 Spread $0.94

The Spread is narrowing, looks like the bookies are wanting to balance their books by offering attractive odds for Biden to offset a lot of money already on Trump
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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by Whistler » October 19, 2020, 11:48 am

Oct 12 Trump $3.00 Biden $1.40 Spread $1.60
Oct 14 Trump $2.85 Biden $1.40 Spread $1:45
Oct 17 Trump $2.50 Biden $1.56 Spread $0.94
Oct 18 Trump $2.35 Biden $1.63 Spread $0.72
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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by Whistler » October 21, 2020, 11:05 am

Oct 12 Trump $3.00 Biden $1.40 Spread $1.60
Oct 14 Trump $2.85 Biden $1.40 Spread $1:45
Oct 17 Trump $2.50 Biden $1.56 Spread $0.94
Oct 18 Trump $2.35 Biden $1.63 Spread $0.72
Oct 21 Trump $2.45 Biden $1.57 Spread $0.98
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jackspratt
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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by jackspratt » October 21, 2020, 8:20 pm

Ya' couldn't make it up in your wildest dreams.

According to this report, Trump pays more tax in "Jiina" than he does in the US. :D

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/ ... xes-report
Tax records reviewed by the New York Times showed a previously unreported bank account in China controlled by Trump International Hotels Management. The account paid $188,561 in taxes in China between 2013 and 2015 in connection to potential licensing deals, according the newspaper.

Earlier reporting by the Times showed he paid just $750 in US taxes in 2016 and 2017.

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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by Stantheman » October 21, 2020, 8:30 pm

jackspratt wrote:
October 21, 2020, 8:20 pm
Ya' couldn't make it up in your wildest dreams.

According to this report, Trump pays more tax in "Jiina" than he does in the US. :D

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/ ... xes-report
Tax records reviewed by the New York Times showed a previously unreported bank account in China controlled by Trump International Hotels Management. The account paid $188,561 in taxes in China between 2013 and 2015 in connection to potential licensing deals, according the newspaper.

Earlier reporting by the Times showed he paid just $750 in US taxes in 2016 and 2017.
Apples versus Oranges. A Hotel management company is different then personal when it comes to taxes

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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by Whistler » October 21, 2020, 9:21 pm

Stantheman wrote:
October 21, 2020, 8:30 pm
jackspratt wrote:
October 21, 2020, 8:20 pm
Ya' couldn't make it up in your wildest dreams.

According to this report, Trump pays more tax in "Jiina" than he does in the US. :D

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/ ... xes-report
Tax records reviewed by the New York Times showed a previously unreported bank account in China controlled by Trump International Hotels Management. The account paid $188,561 in taxes in China between 2013 and 2015 in connection to potential licensing deals, according the newspaper.

Earlier reporting by the Times showed he paid just $750 in US taxes in 2016 and 2017.
Apples versus Oranges. A Hotel management company is different then personal when it comes to taxes
Agree, but in the opposite ( an Irish expression)

If you don't make a profit, you don't pay tax.

Where is Trump making a profit in China?
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Re: US Presidential election odds

Post by papafarang » October 22, 2020, 4:55 am

Stantheman wrote:
October 21, 2020, 8:30 pm
jackspratt wrote:
October 21, 2020, 8:20 pm
Ya' couldn't make it up in your wildest dreams.

According to this report, Trump pays more tax in "Jiina" than he does in the US. :D

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/ ... xes-report
Tax records reviewed by the New York Times showed a previously unreported bank account in China controlled by Trump International Hotels Management. The account paid $188,561 in taxes in China between 2013 and 2015 in connection to potential licensing deals, according the newspaper.

Earlier reporting by the Times showed he paid just $750 in US taxes in 2016 and 2017.
Apples versus Oranges. A Hotel management company is different then personal when it comes to taxes
True , but I think more to the point is that Trump himself is Trying to create more jobs in China for chinese people. Telling american companies not to invest in China . but its OK for him to do so
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