Sorry to say that your conclusion is incorrect, you seem to assume that the London lockdown would have stopped the spread from London to Cumbria. The new variant was first detected in mid-October so, as it only takes hours to travel that distance, it’s perfectly possible that infected individuals with it traveled in October, November or early December. Also Cumbria identified the first case recently but that doesn’t mean that it was the first in Cumbria as the genome is not analysed in every, probably not even in most, cases.vlad wrote: ↑December 24, 2020, 12:07 amSamuel i live in the North of England hundreds of miles from London yet 2 days later when london went into lockdown Cumbria had its 1st few cases of this new strain theres no way it could have spread that quick from london due to our location. So you cant blame the fish market spreader for this if its hit Udon its more likely someone likely local from a village transmitting it brcause most locals are not tested due to the price tag if 8k for the test so spreaders do not know fhere carrying the new strain.
The same point relates to the fish market transmission. The date first reported, specially including the fact that the vast majority were asymptotic, doesn’t tell you when it started spreading. It is certain that it started at least a week probably 2 weeks or more before the first case was identified.
So yes it could have been spread by someone in a village, but it’s equally possible that it was spread from contact with the fish market. There are quite a lot of local places that sell live saltwater fish and prawns, so there is a possible route for infections as they could be (probably are) getting supply from there.