Watching Boris on Sky, the view I got was that the UK appears to accept that a high percentage of people in the UK, will inevitably contract the virus, regardless of what is done.
In the case the UK, the explanation from Boris and associates, was that a Peak number of infections will come at some point in the not to distant future, but that the UK's approach was to flatten that Peak number of infections and also try to control when the Peak does comes, before they introduce /consider other measures. In the way with a flatter Peak will ease the pressure on the NHS and arguably make it more manageable for the NHS and other Prevention Authorities.
The first graph they showed was with a normal uncontrolled Pandemic Peak, indication sharp Spike at a point with a very high number of people infected over a shorter period of time.
The second graph they showed with their current approach and control measures, showed a flatter Peak (i.e less people infected at a particular point in time) but with a longer period of the Peak
I dare say the Areas under each of the two graph scenarios measures the same, which means the same total number of people in the country would have been infected (40, 50 or 60%) under each scenario, just that is it at different time periods.
So Yes, it does not mean that overall significantly less people in the country will be infected by the UK approach or measures, although this maybe the hope of the final outcome at the end of the Pandemic cycle. This being the case and the total number infected being the same or similar under each scenario, then the same/similar number of people will also die under each scenario, in the absence of a vaccine.
The UK spokesman or Boris indicated the Peak (based on the UK's approach) will then come towards end April or May, and I would suggest that we will not see a vaccine in the next 6 -10 weeks
What Boris also appeared to say, is that when the Peak comes (the highest number of people infected in the Country) then they would be looking at other control measures, in the mane, to protect the elderly most vulnerable, such as Elderly and Families staying inside their homes at the time of the Peak.
This is the UK's approach and they supposedly have one of the better health systems in the world. We will see the outcome of this approach in the next 2 -3 months
OH and what they also said was that Italy appeared to be 4 weeks ahead of the UK in the Pandemic cycle. So I guess we will see by mid April what is the Peak (highest percentage number of people infected) in a similar standard of country, very some.
I can only assume that being one of the EU countries that the case and death numbers being recorded, are reasonably accurate. Italy currently - 15,113 Recorded Cases & 1016 Deaths, running at 6.72% DR. I only hope this is not the typical outcome.